Template-Type: ReDIF-Paper 1.0 Author-Name: Elias Bouacida Author-Name-First: Elias Author-Name-Last: Bouacida Author-Name: Daniel Martin Author-Name-First: Daniel Author-Name-Last: Martin Title: Predictive Power in Behavioral Welfare Economics Abstract: When choices are inconsistent due to behavioral biases, there is a theoretical debate about whether the structure of a model is necessary for providing precise welfare guidance based on those choices. To address this question empirically, we use standard data sets from the lab and field to evaluate the predictive power of two “model-free” approaches to behavioral welfare analysis. We find they typically have high predictive power, which means there is little ambiguity about what should be selected from each choice set. We also identify properties of revealed preferences that help to explain the predictive power of these approaches. Creation-Date: 2020 File-URL: http://www.lancaster.ac.uk/media/lancaster-university/content-assets/documents/lums/economics/working-papers/LancasterWP2020_008.pdf File-Format: application/pdf Number: 296961902 Classification-JEL: I30, C91, D12 Keywords: Welfare economics, behavioral economics, predictive power, revealed preferences Handle: RePEc:lan:wpaper:296961902